Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.459403 0.589653 0.730585 0.892456 1.071468 1.261830 1.478085
2025-04-06 0.257869 0.424389 0.625206 0.875191 1.169751 1.499047 1.888900
2025-04-13 0.183780 0.367499 0.606834 0.919955 1.302187 1.740649 2.270234
2025-04-20 0.132745 0.325603 0.596240 0.965849 1.430067 1.973205 2.638998
2025-04-27 0.099096 0.297823 0.596281 1.018630 1.561010 2.205091 3.003214
2025-05-04 0.082041 0.291455 0.622656 1.103194 1.729601 2.480733 3.418003
2025-05-11 0.061195 0.271192 0.624934 1.152894 1.852430 2.699982 3.765304
2025-05-18 0.038517 0.237331 0.601528 1.164042 1.923593 2.854698 4.034569
2025-05-25 0.014300 0.180159 0.531955 1.104399 1.898616 2.888163 4.155978
2025-06-01 0.002086 0.130503 0.464102 1.039983 1.862109 2.903399 4.252094
2025-06-08 NaN 0.100680 0.424864 1.013432 1.872935 2.975361 4.414930
2025-06-15 NaN 0.088872 0.418909 1.036789 1.951008 3.131974 4.681109
2025-06-22 NaN 0.071254 0.398373 1.038762 2.003677 3.262210 4.923164
2025-06-29 NaN 0.051116 0.365427 1.018091 2.023896 3.351086 5.115327
2025-07-06 NaN 0.047727 0.374443 1.067079 2.142572 3.567143 5.465274
2025-07-13 NaN 0.044755 0.383821 1.116504 2.261935 3.784311 5.816978
2025-07-20 NaN 0.043407 0.397589 1.173464 2.392213 4.015874 6.186897
2025-07-27 NaN 0.048109 0.430576 1.264436 2.572106 4.312806 6.639167
2025-08-03 NaN 0.046172 0.442248 1.317804 2.697426 4.538244 7.001933
2025-08-10 NaN 0.037826 0.430975 1.329763 2.762052 4.683718 7.264194
2025-08-17 NaN 0.020998 0.379526 1.265734 2.713111 4.677965 7.334974
2025-08-24 NaN 0.008859 0.328430 1.196452 2.652844 4.654711 7.381593
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003715 0.300426 1.167854 2.651436 4.708298 7.524046